Hassan Nasrallah ki maut ho gayi hai; ab is cleric se ummid ki ja rahi hai ki wo Hezbollah ki leadership sambhalega.

New Delhi: Israel ne Hezbollah ke leader Hassan Nasrallah ki maut ki ghoshna ki hai, lekin iski pushti ab tak Iran-backed group, jo Lebanon mein hai, ne nahi ki hai. Israeli military officials ka kehna hai ki Beirut par pichli raat ki gayi airstrikes ke natije mein 64 saal ke Nasrallah ki maut hui.

Is khabar ne militant organization ke bhavishya ko lekar significant chinta aur andazey lagane shuru kar diye hain. Nasrallah ki hatna, jo Hezbollah ke 32 saal se leader rahe hain, group ke liye ek bada setback hoga.

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Nasrallah ki Virasat

Jabki Hassan Nasrallah ka koi official governmental position nahi hai, wo asal mein Lebanon ke de facto ruler ke roop mein kaam karte hain. Unka prabhav itna hai ki sarkar, chahe president aur prime minister ho, aksar apne policies ko unki statements ke saath align karti hai, jaise veteran journalist Hussain Abdul-Hussain ne kaha.

1960 mein East Beirut mein janme, Nasrallah ki yuvaavastha Lebanese Civil War se prabhavit hui, jisne unki family ko unke purkho ke gaon lautne par majboor kiya. 15 saal ki umar mein, unhone Amal movement, jo ek Shia political aur paramilitary group hai, ke saath judna shuru kiya. Unhone Iraq mein Quranic studies ki, lekin 1978 mein Lebanon wapas aa gaye jab sarkar ne Shia radicals par crackdown shuru kiya.

1982 mein, Israeli invasion ke baad, Nasrallah ne Amal movement ko chhod kar Hezbollah join kiya, jo Iran ke Revolutionary Guards dwara sthapit kiya gaya tha. Unhone 1992 mein apne purvadhikari Abbas al-Musawi ki hatya ke baad leadership sambhali. Nasrallah ke under, Hezbollah ne ek militia se lekar ek significant political entity tak ka safar tay kiya, jo Israeli occupation ke khilaf thi.

Unka Hezbollah ke operations mein bhumika Israeli withdrawal ke liye 2000 mein zaroori rahi, jo unki reputation ko aur badhati hai. Israel ke khilaf unka lamba opposition unki leadership ka ek defining aspect raha hai, unhone mashhoor taur par kaha, “Mujhe Israel ke riyasat par vishwas nahi hai kyunki ye occupation par sthapit hui hai.”

Nasrallah ki Maut ke Parinaam

Agar Nasrallah ko power se hata diya jata hai, to Hezbollah ko unprecedented challenge ka saamna karna padega, khaaskar isliye ki Israeli military ki safalta ne unki leadership ko pehle hi kamzor kar diya hai. Halanki group ka poori tarah se collapse hone ka koi asar nahi hai, lekin unki non-hazri zaroor morale par asar dalegi aur Israel ke military strength ka ek significant symbol banegi.

Chatham House Policy Institute ki analyst Lina Khatib ne kaha ki jabki Nasrallah ki maut ke baad Hezbollah ka disintegrate hona sambhav nahi hai, lekin ye unke morale par ek bada blow hoga aur Israel ke security advantages ko highlight karega.

Unki maut ke sambhavit parinaam sirf morale tak simit nahi rahenge, balki Hezbollah ke military capabilities ko bhi prabhavit kar sakte hain. Group abhi bhi Israeli border par Israel ke saath ongoing exchanges of fire mein shamil hai, jo 2006 ke baad se sabse intense conflict mein badal gaya hai. 7 October ko Hamas dwara Israel par kiye gaye attack ke baad, Hezbollah ne Israeli positions par apne rocket attacks ko badha diya hai, jo dikhata hai ki wo operational readiness mein hain, bawajood ongoing Israeli offensives ke.

Leadership Vacuum

Succession ka sawal khaas hai. Naya leader ko Hezbollah ke internal factions aur unke Iranian backers se acceptance hasil karni hogi. Filhal, Hashem Safieddine ko potential successor ke roop mein dekha ja raha hai.

Safieddine, jo Hezbollah ke political affairs ko sambhalte hain aur Jihad Council mein hain, Nasrallah ke cousin hain aur unka clerical background hai. US State Department ne 2017 mein unhe terrorist declare kiya tha.

Nasrallah ne Safieddine ko leadership ke liye tayyar kiya tha unhe organization ke andar alag-alag roles dekar. Unke parivarik sambandh, Nasrallah se physical resemblance, aur religious stature unki leadership ke liye candidacy ko majboot banate hain.

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