Pakistan ki economy ek baar phir se headlines mein hai aur is baar wajah hai stock market ka zor ka jhatka. 24 April ko Pakistan Stock Exchange ka Benchmark KSE-100 index lagbhag 2,000 points gira. Is girawat ke piche India ke hath hai jo Pahalgaom terror attack ke baad liya gaya tha.
Stock Market Ka Hal
Pakistan ke newspaper Down ke anusar: Subah 11:13 baje tak index 1,086 points gir gaya tha, 0.03% ki girawat ke saath. Aur Dophar 2:56 baje tak index 12,116 tak pahunch gaya, jo 1.81% ki total girawat tha. Yeh girawat 2nd time hai Pakistan ki market mein, isse pehle 22April ko IMF ne Pakistan ke growth forecast ko cut karke 2.6% kar diya tha. Jo ki 3% tha.
IMF Ka Assessment
IMF ne kaha hai ki Pakistan unke loans par depend karta hai, jyadatar Extended Fund Facility (EFF) par. IMF ne kaha:
“Inflation 2015 ke baad apne sabse neeche level par hai, financial conditions improve hui hain, aur external balances strong huye hain.”
IMF ne Warning di: Geopolitical shocks jaise commodity prices ke upar neeche hona, climate related risks aur Policy slippages economic policy mein discipline ka tootna. Pakistan ko ab IMF board se approval meilne ke baad hi Lagbhag $1 billion ka access milega, aur Resilience and Sustainability Facility se alag se $1.3 billion milne wale hain.
World Bank ki Report
World Bank ne kaha: “Pakistn ki economy stable nahi hai, aur financial year 2025 tak 2.7% growth ki Umeed hai.” But problem abhi bhi hain: Agriculture sector suffer kar raha hai due to weather & pests. Aur industry stress mein hai high texes ke karan aur Services bhi weak hai kyunki baaki sectors se spillover nahi ho raha.
Fitch ki Rating Aur Analysis
February 2025 mein Fitch ne highlight kiya: “Inflation ab 2% ke karee bhai, jo pehle average 24% thi FY24 min.” aur Yeh kaafi bada positive signal hai, but Fitch ne ye bhi bola: “Structural reforms ka hona zaroori hai, nahi to IMF aur baaki lenders se financing mushkil ho sakti hai.”
